I just pinged a bunch of random non-techie friends... you know, the other 98% of the world... and asked them the following:
1) Are you likely to purchase the iPhone in the next week? Yes/no
2) Are you likely to purchase the iPhone in the next three months? yes/no
3) Are you likely to purchase the iPhone ever? Yes/no
Next week? 16 no's. A clean sweep.
Next three months. Another 16 no's.
Ever? 3 yes, 6 no, 7 maybe.
Ok, first of all, maybe wasn't a suggested answer, but besides that, here's what people wrote on the "maybe" side:
maybe if cheap enough, sometime! But it would have to be drop-proof...and waterproof!
i could be persuaded if i didn't have to switch my plan (because i'm
really happy with verizon), if it becomes significantly cheaper and
only after they get out the inevitable first generation bugs.
iPhone’s only available currently with AT&T, and I have a contract with Verizon.
No, but only cus I'm poor. If I were rich, then yes.